November 7, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Hands | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Longridge Fell (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ever Summer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oakhurst | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Place | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hatari | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For the Flag | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Joy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ironic Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Mo Reay | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Faith | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khuluq | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marysvale | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afilada | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Gosse | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Journeyman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carom | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Attentive | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conviction Trade | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hieroglyphics | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Current | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crypto Cash | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artemus Bridge | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Zagora S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Orglandes (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Shopping | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Big Blue Nation | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hungry Kitten | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Lover | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Lucky | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Flower | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Beyond Best | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gunton Roe | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Authorize | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Citizen Mack | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Bomber | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Torpedo Run | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | R Boy Cheekum | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nabokov | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Split Then Double (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Investmentstrategy (GB) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suffice | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Hot and Blue | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bonnie T | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mozay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jubilee Lake (GB) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Except Temptation | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Farewell | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Storm | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavy Roller | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Counter Offer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Tom | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buy Land and See | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guildsman (FR) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artemus Citylimits | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turn of Events | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Package | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duress | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Stone | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chocolate Bar | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ballydooley (GB) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Mo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cost Basis | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alcools | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockefeller | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Davis | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speaking | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Worker | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cooke Creek | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairama | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misbehaved | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Vendor | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paratus | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ridley’s Major | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City At Night | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nyquest Nix | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flip the Script | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ruthenian | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin’ T | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inflation Adjusted | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dream of a Day | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.