November 7, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chancel | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ocelot | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Maple | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Righteous Robbie | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Misses Me | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Danger | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Commander Joe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I’m the Sheriff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Billyjane | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cedar Valley | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Green Gables | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jokers Run | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raven Echo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kerics Beauty | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bittersweetbizness | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Not Perfect | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keystone Law | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pink Lloyd | 0.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Told It All | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dun Drum | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Fortune | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Hot | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Karakontie Pat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Sniper | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Over the Hills | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pride and Passion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jojomar | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race for Pinks | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Better Boogie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Tom | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glitter Mountain | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dontcallmesweety | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broke an Broken | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Timmins | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Redemption | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auksine Kulka | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Harder | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cam Woolley | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Innocent Moves | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walsingham | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Calm Down | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hayroll | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Play | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Barbara | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Join the Dance | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sister Seagull | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lisa Marie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Sting | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hallanvaara | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astonish | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mardene | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Body of Law | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nice Quist | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Real Money | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Richiesinthehouse | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Newstome | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lenny K | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookinatamiracle | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Seamus | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stormy Soul | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Comet | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Hans | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Secret | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Viewfinder | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celebratory | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Solidify | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Western Trouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spite Store | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Serenade | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Transient (GB) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dreidel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Richies Noble Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bayou Belle | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Seal | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Little Voodoo | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mopolka | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pemberley | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grateful Praise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ghostliner | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striker | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buck Moon | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saskatchewan | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie’s Pride | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niagara Skyline | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Blue Cliff | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Azzurro | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wood Be Wild | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Sweepin Hard | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Plan | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Piccadilly Beau | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double the Heart | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knopfler | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucas n’ Lori | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amberwood | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cerrado | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Society Joe | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | English Illusion | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Giant Mine | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liquid Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.