November 10, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Paycheck | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leyton’s Hippie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heather’s Request | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yank Crime | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugarland Express | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brook Is Golden | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Wind | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Robtadi Storm | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | My Pal Mattie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bunkie’s Song | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Song | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Singh | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Got Kramer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friendofthecourt | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gimmeasound | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Can | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cameo Dancer | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Don | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Counterfeit | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argybargy Buck | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetsweetsong | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Choice | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Muletrain | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Tuff to Cry | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priority Points | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shack Partout | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R and R Star | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Harbour | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Actifdash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Multidimensional | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Money Machine | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Cash | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honor My Speed | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cool Individual | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hatties Jewel | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Si Es Goya | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Charge Halo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Max Bet | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roverton | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Gus | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Fortunate Son | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambassador House | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Nate | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sobek | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Irishman | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock On Cowboy | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flamin Fire | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Getcha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Tutu | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love to Learn | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Big Money | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Humor | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matt’s Pride | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She Began Again | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tailorbeswift | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jennifer’s Arch | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Invasive | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Oh | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hero of Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Temprano | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Off Sixes | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Powered | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Post Close | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moment | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honoring Major | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reason to Soar | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Late Nite Mischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lover Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Carpe Victoriam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dream Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Five O One | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Eight | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Morricone | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Fellar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | December Seven | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Destiny Way | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Palvera | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy Two Times | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Tempt Fate | 1.80 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Impact Player | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thetrashmanscoming | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invasors Wind | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dealin’ Stelen | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always a Catch | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Revolt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harlans Warrior | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antietam Road | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queeten | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Debonnaire Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Comedian | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full of Run | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.