November 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | C C Crown’s Choice | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah Adriana | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Peach | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prayers Saved | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smackfire | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Social Galaxy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kleinmeister | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Jewel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crypto Brave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honest Woman | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Innervoice | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom for Carlita | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Neko | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Empress | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mitch’s Pins | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabulous Girl | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lulumaru | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Custom Made | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Deposit | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | T W N Letsgogirl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Sunday | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Cat’s Cry | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Em’s Miss Prado | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Track Queen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Vision | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Puzzling Priority | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Rebel | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K R Lucky Day | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shades of Truth | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jus My Imagination | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starbuck Luck | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halfglamorous | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finnleys Encore | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summertime Bandit | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Girl in Black | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Missing Piece | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zionica | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Z’s First | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Pronounce | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pintlala | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merlin’s Sister | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marama | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rose | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Moneyhoney | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Texas Red Bel | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sophie’s Prayer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kiddo Town | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doha | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Complete Court | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catskill Ghost | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birdie Be Gone | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarahs Home | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smoothoutthetrack | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Queen | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enough Heart | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audacious Girl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockett Magic | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racelynn | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean American | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | I’m a Special Star | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Louisiana Hero | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Father Goose | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Laughingsaintssong | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Sword | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pickens | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hail State | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Carlos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Believe in Parts | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holden Pass | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Curlin | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coach Hudson | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brad Eye | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Red Racer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Soul | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Big Daddy | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Sunny Song | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Herms Crown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cool Power | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.