November 11, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss the Hype | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Essential Bella | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Pool | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hit Me Up | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Infinite Passion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stole the Ring | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Simple Souvenir | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lacougra | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Appeal | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seamialaugh | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Careless Heiress | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benny’s Button | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citizen’s Arrest | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Question | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Doll | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veil | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Coal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy n’ Silent | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valley Girl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Airy Fairy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Some Skin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Gospel Hill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Deeply in Love | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sea Fret | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Psarris | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Devine Dancing | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quiet Ascot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Raleigh | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Only Believe | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Federal Court | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Katy and Emma | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mi Tormenta | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Company | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bird Savvy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradigm Shift | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allpaidup | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Success | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassywithattitude | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gormley Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Fortune | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venenosa | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Majestic Horizon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sacred Dancer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Jessop | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Load Abroad | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Ghost | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | At the Lyric | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lincolnville Beach | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Retail Therapist | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Brentwood | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carmenootz | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solidify | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rose’s Vision | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senor Jobim | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Magician | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dotted Line | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Selfmade | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Jimmie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gelato Amore | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Anna Dream | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Orbaline | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Damsel | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy’s Sister | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | J M R Bold Vision | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Someone Else | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fashion Flirt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pierian | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Reine Secret | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.