November 12, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Demandsrespect | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roboz | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puglia | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kathleen O. | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Diane | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greatitude | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Happiness | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Front Man | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Briggs | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Therisastormbrewin | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Handy | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Loaded Joe | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Borgobythesea | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Kringle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Summer to Remember | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Albie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Subsidize | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Vincent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stanford (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bourbon Bay | 2.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectatorless | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Respect for All | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory Dia | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dantastic | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesalittle Edgy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Weekend | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Meghan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Fidget | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Speed Effect | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scotty | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bellamy Dolce | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Winston | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giocare | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Make It in Ny | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerusalem Gates | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Order of Magnitude | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eddie the Great | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pioneering Spirit | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Predicted | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wick Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Debate | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kitten Mischief | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charming Charlie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Exclusive Order | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Day | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cassation | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fort Washington | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Parquetry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Noli Temere | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | True Empress | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Imposing Treasure | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Serenade Soldier | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bean Christine | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Bank On Anna | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cindy’s Choice | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 11 | Thinking It Over | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Tonight We Love | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Dream Central | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tijera Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inkblot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Our Reward | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Maeve | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Dancing | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Towering Orbit | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Esotica | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Mary | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Cara | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pendolino | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ancient Brown | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Clever | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Baseline Drive | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evvie Jets | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Perfect Grace | 1.20 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Vienna Code | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Halo City | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unruly Julie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Maoilin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Messidor (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | So Enchanting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tuscan Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Delicious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Flauto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Windfall Profit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Contained | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sudden Impulse | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Diva | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quintarelli | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mandatory Payout | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Confectioner | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedazzling | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Boy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Break | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Right Path | 1.60 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promo Code | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Wonder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.