November 12, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sitting Pretty | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harvest | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who Says | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bequia | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buttered Toast | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Dancing Derek | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gasconade | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sent From Heaven | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tall Water | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bachelor Pad | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Northern Solution | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yzerman | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Half Lit | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Miami | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thatnightintoronto | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toosexyformypants | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Essence | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marvel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Silver | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madame Bovery | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Thrill Me | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia’s Authority | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dominant Factor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hiatus | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flex | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verrazano Bridge | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Chances | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | L’Etat (GER) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Rob | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Magical | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Kalen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | O’Kratos | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piven | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Trouble | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Corduroy Road | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Solution | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Success | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Girasol | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victor’s Dynasty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Newport Agent | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Fleet | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Town | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Upstart Gentleman | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | U S Navy Cross | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pound Green | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Muskoka Giant | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lomaki’s Gem | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Hero | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancers Ghost | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hell Bent | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justleaveitalone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bossy Holiday | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Rush | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drop a Caribou | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bid Once | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Runner | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Reload | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Chi Too | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild River Wolf | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fun Cool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forest B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Final Strike | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jegos Fire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carl G | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Souper Cohiba | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veloce | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | San Nicola Brew | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Melody | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me Your Spots | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Secret | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.