November 13, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Shadows | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Lunar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoping for a Ring | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daredevil Is Back | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Vixen | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pagoda Ridge | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Edition | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Emoji | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Meg | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coasting Away | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gwen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Exceptional | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazing Sky | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerics Beauty | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspicious Minds | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tenpenny Nail | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jolie Davina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spice in Yuh Life | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Fade | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inspector Reload | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Makes Me Tizzy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tara Luna | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Aint No Joke | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Have an Idea | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Road to Romance | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Tap | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Drift | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hai Bobbi | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imagery | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hard Street | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take It Easy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Del | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Risk | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takota | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halfinthewrapper | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | October Frost | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coo Bird | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unspeakable | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Patio Party | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bound Lucky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Muromec | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Resilient | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thelonious | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethnic Soul | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Innuendo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Elvis | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Why Not Bourbon | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Agro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tragically Funny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Veery | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gamble’s Silver | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Livin On Luv | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ashbury | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Crescent | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reciprocal | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Humorus Holiday | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonniecrest | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maple Leaf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Lady | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merveilleux | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lake Lucerne | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Art of Almost | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skygaze | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Lune (GB) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Otoole | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Glacier | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Seeker | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ann of Cleves | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bessarabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gidgetta | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tuned (GB) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Speightspeare | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Secret Agent | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Libertee | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aug Lutes | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Emmeline | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Juxtapose | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spun Glass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Rain | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Capable | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Antigone | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Anita Grigio | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capoeira | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Classy Mistress | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Society | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cheeky Pint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Seau | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epilogue | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Conquest | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hallie’s Hero | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blockbuster | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Wally | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Moonlite | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itmakesmewonder | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamite Karma | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Silent Guroo | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Musically Inclined | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Baby Driver | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shishka | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roche’s Point | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elite Princess | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Humble Beginnings | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Sweet Shades | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Machisima | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Final Trick | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Bonita | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda Loves Lace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Chasing Destiny | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.