November 14, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Whatruwaitingfor | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Amazing Dream | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Royally Blue | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Prima Della | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Next Tuesday | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Whiskey | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 4 | S Oh S | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 3 | London Pearl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | V Pattern | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Mint | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bail Out the Bank | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Mayor | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suit of Armor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Tiger | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Damilano | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Giant | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Gloucestershire | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Win Worthy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Evie’s Prince | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Southern District | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jarreau | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Experienced | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Abaan | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | My First Grammy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Friend Duke | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call My Banker | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whistler’s Honor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Looking to Heaven | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandrone | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckortwo | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kane | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devious Banker | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hezastonecoldfox | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winetastic | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Built to Last | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Safalow’s Mission | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thrill of It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Devil Or Angel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lord Brownie | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chief Engineer | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Subsidiary | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Trick | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Foxtail | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Doink | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Bella | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady by Choice | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Sweet Mia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Subiaco | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Nurse Rachett | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scherzando | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Comets | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinton | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brew Pub | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got the Gold | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir William | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B C Glory Days | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Angelo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stanhope | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderbird Cafe | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giramonte | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Constant Knight | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Terminator | 3.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lookin for Trouble | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Straight Skinny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Castle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Brown Shoes | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Samay | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coragescontender | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Flash | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle George | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gongheifatchoy | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | White Frost | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Flown | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Out of Sorts | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bipartisanship (GB) | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinevere (GER) | 50.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gam’s Mission | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Dracarys | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Runaway Rumour | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Batyah | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bleecker Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Plum Ali | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Carly Hustle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Back Channel | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dom’s Feisty Girl | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bonus Baby | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Sweeter | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Creative Legacy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Gagliano | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Rainbow Gal | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mission Trail | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Lucky Sitka | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Hollywood Gina | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.