November 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Peace | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queen Shasta | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Goodnight Gracie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Every Day | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joe G’s Payback | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Texas Mama | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Flashback | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Underrated | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sassy Mallory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Ending | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tecate Time | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdcatmouse | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eve’s Delight | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inawic | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart That Binds | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Madame Moustache | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sugar Star | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Courtly Doc | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Meg | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Punch Fist | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Leudeal | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Order Up Another | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roseisalwaysrite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Emma Jean | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mila’s Kat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Gal Charlotte | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Samurai Island | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eye Dee Kay | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matts Fire N Ice | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Delight | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Away | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Breed | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Analysis | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Thursday Morning | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Invader | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smackfire | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pricey | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy War | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Linda | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Envoys Legacy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Hadley | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mess | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grayfully | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crypto Brave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little Tator Tot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Frank | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Mark | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | And Yet Another | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last to Know | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preferred Prospect | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flamin Fire | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Irishman | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock On Cowboy | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daves Friend Dewey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maggie’s Return | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Seventeen | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Baroness | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foursweetnieces | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsnotmyjob | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Crown | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracesspecialtouch | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Track Smart | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Prayer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Backshot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Boy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chop Chop Charlie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muscadine | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calculate | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hour City | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corvette Spirit | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Stove League | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Here Comes Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Speighter Cat | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untamed Money | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oklahoma Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Light as a Whisper | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Annie’s Luck | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Linda Lou | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Songs Discreet Cat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Guera | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Darlene | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.