November 28, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pistachio Princess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Clare | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Moon | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taming the Tigress | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Mama Sue | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Vetoed | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Today’s Flavor | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American Admiral | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who’s the Star | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Deservedly | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Invisible War | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Soy Tapatio | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Sailor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Optimising (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Get Back Goldie | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Verbal | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lottery Pick | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derecho Dandy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cabo Spirit | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khantaro d’Oro | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barsabas | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Groovy Huey | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stotland | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Il Capitano | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Got Thunder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sense of Dominance | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Newgrange | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Them Down | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Godsend | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Peace | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Dog | 20.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Facetious | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Breakfast Ride | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Rinca | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crosby Beach | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wall Street Trader | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | La’och Aloysius | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Egomania | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Mayhem | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Handy Dandy | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sundown Warren | 15.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookout Point | 12.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yogi Boy | 15.00 | 16.5 | 31-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torajiro | 20.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Holden the Lute | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hang Charlie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Scott Daddy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solo Animo | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfecto Amor | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me B Bubba T | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fast Jet Court (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Grace | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Glory | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zofelle (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viadera (GB) | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fowler Blue | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dadstar | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Bug Z | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Music | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Candy Randy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Brother | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Indio Mo Mo | 5.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vanisky | 15.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tribute to Afleet | 6.00 | 19.9 | 38-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charges Dropped | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Unicorn | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rose’s Crystal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tony Ann | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | So Much Happy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kleen Karma | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zydeco Mama | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Lady Noguez | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Girl | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frose | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Met in Miami | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Resarcio | 30.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.