December 2, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Glance | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Alliance | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Quinn Ella | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Havinfunyet | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel of Verdun | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Sunday Scheming | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seriously Sassy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zion | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coach Kenny | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Money and Me | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Sexy A. P. | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Thunder | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barrel of Bourbon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yoakam | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem of Carlos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Sergeant | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheyann Glitters | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hushed Court Room | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Looking Hot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sayanotherprayer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Laughalot | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah’s Here | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolutely Mindy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Power Red | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okudah | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Prayer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | East Lex | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincitore | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Need a Five | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No Ka Oi | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Killer Bee | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hog Wild | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Hitter | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Citadel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fiftyfive Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Duvee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Battle of Will | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adieu Le Chat | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Mr Elvin | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double You | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Touchdown Joe | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Inthealy | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doctrinaire | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Flash | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Maximum Fury | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cyrano De | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yin Yang | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maxine Machine | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystique Saboteur | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Tiara | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet N Sassy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boxing Day | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Raid | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trafalgar | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bloodline | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naval Aviator | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We All See It | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best of Cupid | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Order | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Robinhill | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gillian Elizabeth | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luck Is Fickle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aboukir Bay | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colors of the Wind | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Grey Beauty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zen (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sparkling Water | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spooky Road | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Pasodoble | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Philly Wins | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | G’s Squeeze | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speak to Me | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Gone Sweet | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verrazano Island | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steph’s Spirit | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rue Lala | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mrs. Judy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trefoil | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peaceful Vision | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.