December 3, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holy Spirit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Club Soda | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Knows | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dick the Bruiser | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Set Hut | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | W W Kan Do | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sr. Clarky | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ms Satch Mo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paytonsattheplate | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swanage | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ephemeral | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katie’s Karat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | California Katie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Staceys Racey | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gottabegolden | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aphrodites Revenge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Chloe | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commercial Flash | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slide | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ronnie’s Peso | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Brave | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Lovely Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Tuff | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matthewsthirtyfour | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Cunningham | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Z | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verstappen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hogslayers R I P | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Anejo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mom Said Yes | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Streaker | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redoux | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tin Delay | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trophy Daddy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kyle’s Bro Jimmy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Strange | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Guitar | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Payday Too | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swot Analysis | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maga Man | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forestdungone | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sydster | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imindycatbirdseat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reluctant Warrior | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standing Man | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drilling Report | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drewcitable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Secret Vista | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Luckenbacher | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Gent | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dr. Benny | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Mucho Veloce | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peso in My Pocket | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Fightville | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Webcam | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Courthouse Cove | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Brielle | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parker Eva | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Kid | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hana Road | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Gioiosa (FR) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buongiorno Bee | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Mate | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Diplomacy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Delta Traveler | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2B | 9 | Funkylittleshack | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elsie Girl | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Special Spots | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loneshilohspecial | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Summer Is Hot | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Lucky Linda | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sumitup | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Shelli’s Angel | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Cosmic Belle | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.