December 3, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tenax | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dune Dune | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patient Game | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pickin Sea Glass | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanhoofer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its Mr Poppi to U | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Amigo | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erawan | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming of Carats | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tipyourhattothat | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldie’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jestful | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Alan | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irishman | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Gave Back | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Let Us Make Gold | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler Time | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Victory | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Fellow | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Under Fire | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Houdini | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barrister | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Most Wanted | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Cardo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Acadian Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sprite’s Lady | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hashtag Lucky | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Honor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Italian Dressing | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combat Queen | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maureenlovesfrank | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucre | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Owen’s Pleasure | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Swing | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Determined Honor | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rona | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flingueur (FR) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winked | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Out | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Odds | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do It | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thief of Dreams | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sundog | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canoodle | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hunter Joe | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Terrific | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Courageous | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Prayer | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Penn Legacy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Wolfman | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven On the Rocks | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jebologist | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going to the Lead | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shaka Style | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Victory Given | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Enough | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappahannock | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Odds On | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golazo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Championship Alley | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooke Brothers | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Military Hop | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Phantom Ro | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swing West | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Dreams | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Journeytothemoon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B B’s Busted | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auldwood Lane | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adelaide Miss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Folly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Georgia | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Taste | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Confection | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Instparty | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Spice | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Superiority | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crosstown Girl | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zealacious | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Supream | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Seductive | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Cadence | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Beauty | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kymmies Chardonnay | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.