December 3, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honey Parade | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Erica | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom for Carlita | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva de Kela | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrowsphere | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary Alice | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Beach Holiday | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Requisition | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Declare the Moon | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spend Again | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Pete | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Popster | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Revolution | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookinforexcitemen | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jim and Jim | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | India Tiger | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Side Bet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blues Tune | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lonely Private | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Saturday | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eagle Pass | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Behavior | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pit Boss | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chicken Hawk | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Star | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Axis | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Khozan | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Familiar Ways | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wisecrack | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rubiginous | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | My Little Tipsy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funandfunny | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kat’s Hitman | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Pass | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hard to Park | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Choctaw Charlie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Burrito | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Dams Atitude | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unbridled Twister | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Scout | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Olivian | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frankies Moonshine | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sailaway and Hide | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Cappen | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Sweetness To | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Jack’s Advantage | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tez | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatoutjustice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Botswana | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Istillgotit | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altito | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rye Humor | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splash for Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Exemplar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Firewolves | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Queen | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roll Baby | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hypersport | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Wonder | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Mombo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Orchid | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Beauty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Cloud Burst | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Advent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cairama | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ruggs | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kavod | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sonnyisnotsofunny | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oro Azteca | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forty Stripes | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Impulsus | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charter Oak | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | B Sudd | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Kate | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Palm Cottage | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Flash Magic | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Jets a Ginnin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miz Blue | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shez Stuck Up | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ursulina | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Athenas Song | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bling Machine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ms Sassy Atitude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Prayers | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.