December 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catching Fish | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten Street | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Farley | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uhtred | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Philo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Benefactor | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drillomatic | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | National Honor | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inclusive | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Unmatchable | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Strike the Top | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Small Hope | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ambassador Jim | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Poco Charlie | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeha | 4.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keepsakekitten | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Mane Man | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ensign Parker | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Benny | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Septemberten | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinnie Van Go | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joe Di Baggio | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bailey | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lauda Speed | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Iron Horse Kent Stirling Memorial Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Curly | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Steel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Eyed Jack | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | County Court | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brasstown | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trappezoid | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causalistic | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Fly Over | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zanesville | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Distaff Dash Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Drop a Hint | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Follow Me Mom | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Anonymously | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cat’s Astray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Odramark | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mudslide Wicked | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Odor | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beantown Baby | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awsum Roar | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running Memories | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Great Kath | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Likely Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Richies Great Girl | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Payntdembluesaway | 3.50 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Express Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guaco | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aequor | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Prince | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Tiger | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ellas My Love | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Face of Victory | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalu | 1.20 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncork the Bottle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Star Juancho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Tiara Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Toned Up | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whimsical Muse | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Centsless Drama | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kahiko | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Mallomar | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passion Plus | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Una Luna | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Isadorable Aida | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Act Like Artie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bean Counter | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Woman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Fix | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Glass Slipper Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Rachel | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Papa’s Little Girl | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Be Honest | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trevess | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lavi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willoughby Gap | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Possible Dear | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Willemina | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Our Fantasy | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Get Khozy | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chez Paree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dem a Wonder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Canterbury Tom Metzen Memorial Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belgrano | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Henry’s World | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Discreet Tune | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropicat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Messenger | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Beat Brian | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Admiral Abe | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Xy Speed | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Survivor | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Shane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gran Malbec | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Connector | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Rapid Transit Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Motataabeq | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lookin At Roses | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Journey | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Sign | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a G Six | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortunate Friends | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pudding | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Financial System | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Legal Deal | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miles Ahead | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Well Defined | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Jewel Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Florida | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ludington | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Lighting | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Hawk | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Braccio Di Ferro | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girolamo’s Attack | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike Appeal | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tune In | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Volt Man | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Stakes) – Claiming Crown Emerald Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Benelux | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louder Than Bombs | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mandate | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Last Zip | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Vision | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Attentive | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surf and Turf | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Go Mike | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Max K. O. | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Spa | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Light Fury | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Day Image | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Call Curt | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vow Me Now | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.