December 5, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gamble’s Silver | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Tap | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erasmo’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swirling Dancer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Sky | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozzy Valintine | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fedalia | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trading Bay | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eleanor Powell | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Cross | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy’s Star | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Society | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Gizmo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Squall | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Essence | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a True Fox | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shuddacuddawudda | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Lady | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mizz Gemma | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtingcourtney | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opal Creek | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Naha Te | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foresters Princess | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Body of Law | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Drop Fox | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ivictory | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Positive | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Modus Operandi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dancing Doll | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Make No Mistake | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Airy Fairy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Guroo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbaline | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ladies Signature | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sararenda | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onezy’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gelato Amore | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pino in a Purse | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Leon Azul | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Some Skin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wake Up Maggie | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | October Frost | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tragically Funny | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ascot Bay | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spigetinmtzaballs | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Muromec | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silver Signature | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Not Bourbon | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ethnic Soul | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yankee Joe | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Commish | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Wheresthepassion | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Intrepid Warrior | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fortune | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Menagerie | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baby Fade | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Jaimie’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trizzel Trazzel | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Makes Me Tizzy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Abitibi | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tara Luna | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fredericia | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dramatic Fashion | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Have an Idea | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well Actually | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exit Stage Right | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J M R Gemma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Proud Speaker | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Souper Rush | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feelthebeat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J M R Best of Turf | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’m a Chi Too | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gancho | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speak Unity | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drop a Caribou | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Holiday | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Victory Jet | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Gamble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Artie | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Comet | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Dividend | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Moon | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Town | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Secret | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Embolden | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Road to Romance | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gloriannia | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fairywren | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Vancougar | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hai Bobbi | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit and Run | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forest Drift | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Take It Easy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Street | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Society | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halfinthewrapper | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bayou Belle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Golden Garter | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five Days in May | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Borders | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Cape Cod | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grandson | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Smoke | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Three | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bodie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Azzurro | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Eminent Domain | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Racing in the Rain | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunrise Drive | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Niagara Skyline | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dynamite Duke | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Magic Spin | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Live by Faith | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | H C Holiday | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Valedictory S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sir Winston | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Over | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Bomber (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Forces | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Sahib | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Theregoesjojo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Conqueror | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shangassah | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Burning Man | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Collective Force | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Assiduously (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Peace Seeker | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jelgo | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Peace of Ekati | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Duke of Carthania | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Souper Watson | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Faraway Kitten | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carmenootz | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Teacher’s Pet | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Selfmade | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carl G | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Native Prince | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Magician | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Proliferate | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maximus Momentus | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Critic | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Priceless Will | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nashtrick | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Spy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U S Army Corps | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Tom | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argentium | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Freedom | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Deliberate | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Core | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilkabee Rush | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chancel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Mavrik | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiz Romantic | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | I’m the Sheriff | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Virreinato | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor of Essa | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Alliance | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Rob | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gwen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Perfect Gentleman | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Correlate | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.