December 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Volte Face | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Plain Ornery | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wadada | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Bhai Union | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singinthruthestorm | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Mac Quhae | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arevalo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moriche | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nationalist | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Orb Not | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Big Spring | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rain | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Make Me Beg | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Queen | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exponential | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Law of the Land | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Al Hilal | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal War | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buenisimo | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Fortune | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinny Dream | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paliza | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Catching Fish | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gumwrapper | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured King | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Squeeze | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Blade | 1.40 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaster | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Fast | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Men On The Hill (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defensible | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dark and Fitzy | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Moon | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream of a Day | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Father Glado | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glider | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand David | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pergola | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamita Linda | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Gal | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Breeze | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Nasty | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brittiz | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Trip | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Come Easy Go | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Negrita | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Datttsafancyfox | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Connection | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jumeirah | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mabee Luckynwild | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Running Legacy | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Duper Ready | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Novel Idea | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Light | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Cold Gold | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amunet | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Macha | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Ellie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prettykeen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Summer | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Katie’s Cowboy | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thinkaboutit | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zanno | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Windy City Red | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mamba On Three | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Leader | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Daddy Dave | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brian’s Mission | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mack | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Family | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wontoughsunofagun | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tarquin | 50.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Roger That B | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Truffles | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mindship Q | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duel Fuel | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Be Broken | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Surprise | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Q | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gleaming Sword | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.