December 11, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eyeondaprize | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuckers Prize | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maggies Runaway | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightemupwithcharm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hezjessmagic | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollitical B Snow | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gamefaceprize | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Royal Runaway | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jess Sweet Enough | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kp Prospect | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quid Pro Quo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Return the Queen | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soft On the Freight | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railroad Jimmy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amazing Blood | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kk Sandra Patriot | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shesa Knockoutcartel | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Louisiana | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Qh Derby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dirtwater Dash | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jettin Cartel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apollitical Chais | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Fast Cajun | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cason | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Britt | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ought to Go Tee | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Kue | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Zo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get It Done Babe | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Custom Bobby’s | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Park | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Rocket | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m d’Cat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Moon | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Power Jet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Polk | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Net a Bear | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eileen Alexandra | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Romance | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Savvy Shipman | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spider Legs | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spellbinding | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Deadline | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Ten Duchess | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distractor Factor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vita | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duepeg | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ova Charged | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Passion | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snowball | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Beauty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cilla | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sumitup | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sienna Breeze | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suzie’s Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grand Luwegee | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pound for Pound | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highland Creek | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unrestricted | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimi’s a Star | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Vista | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mageez | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who Took the Money | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bron and Brow | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tambourine Star | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unified Report | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vodka Gimlet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiesty Fist | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charco | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grunt | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | True Deal | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Heavy Son | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | No Parole | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swot Analysis | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monte Man | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takes Two to Tango | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail State | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Wellington | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pickens | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Father Goose | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Budro Talking | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mangelsen | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Britts a Closer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carlea’s Dream | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who Took the Money | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jaci’s Royalty | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treys Midnite Moon | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im a Cowboy Too | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Four Sevens | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Get Them Justin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Won Day | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Neany | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maestria | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream On It | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Basalt Street | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medley | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wholelottamo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valtesse | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buckley Bunny | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beleout | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Helaire | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gutzy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Order Up | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Chopper | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Callen Feels Good | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | General Eisenhower | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | More Harder | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Guitartuition Plzz | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Bootleggs | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Three | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bron and Brow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.