December 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Flint | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Readyseekgo | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piypa de Lynda | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julius the Great | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charleston Strong | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ever Clear | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Drama | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Divert | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor D J | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Beach Kid | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plato | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Ages | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dizzy Gillespie | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Max | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Tito’s | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Simpatia | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naked Taco | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driving Wind | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rain of Blessing | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G T’s Blue Squall | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bordeaux Legacy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yeguita Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commissio | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thelastbulletsmine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dean’s List | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin Bow | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Felix | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Storm | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Positive Review | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory and Victory | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Matt | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superstitieux | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Backstretchbeauty | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danzatale | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kay’s Project | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Khosea | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Social | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Perfect Kimberly S | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bears Breeches | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Strength | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Check Twice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twilight | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shea On a Mission | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shiny Empire | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Molly | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mikaela | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Betty | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corey | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emmanuel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapthespeedofsound | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Once a Giant | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Way | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Facts | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch Code | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dominican Ice | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poseidon’s Son | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nyquest Nix | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logico | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gitana | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Destiny | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bargainaire | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restofthestory | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Miss Susie | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Playera | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Panarea | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Annmarie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild America | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Call of Honor | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Blessing | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alado | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Year | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | On Base | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thenorthremembers | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Kitten | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palatial Times | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man On the Moon | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Landbiscuit | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flap Jack | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Officiating | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Endorsed | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dennis’ Moment | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Amster | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Pride | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uninvited Guest | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Testa | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love in Paradise | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jardani | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solar Tap | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giantsbane | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hashtag No Wonder | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Risk Vs Reward | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K. C. Chief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Merlin | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T Ville | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Sensible | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.