December 11, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Showbiz | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Adams | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heirloom Kitten | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ike | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Istillgotit | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Nest | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shake It | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baquero Flies | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Beverly Park | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hidden Ruler | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sacred Oath | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | California Swing | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alex’s Strike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One for Richie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Skyscanner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Opus Equus | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosher Cowboy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shacks Way | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fallen Empire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Latin Casino | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Feature | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Pryce | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major Chance | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Mark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victory March | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go West | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stratofortress | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Constitutional Law | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Late Nite Radio | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Rocket | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emperador | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wheels | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Much Better | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Long Term Thinking | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Johnny Unleashed | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Substantial | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sturgill | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lamartine (BRZ) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shotski | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Authority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Allo Enry | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Ten Stadium | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whelen Springs | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Peace Dog | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Randy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Razo | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Street Commander | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All in Good Time | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Max’s Heart | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Harbor | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sobriety | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mo Choctaw | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Full Buck Moon | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guest Suite | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Logistics | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonneman | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spa City | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sixth Sense | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fact Finding | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beaver Hat | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roulette | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salado | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Favorite Uncle | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saqeel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Namesake | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holiday Ticket | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brody Boucher | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Captain Fantastic | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Redemption | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fan Club | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Poinsettia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Mischief | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defeater | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Stock | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simovitch | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Samurai | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ram | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myopic | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Phantom Dance | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Continental Coins | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Coup | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ottothelegend | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Tip | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luck of the Draw | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gigging | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Miacomet | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don’tshowweakness | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarterback Dak | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go for Sherrie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Amongst Friends | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.