December 13, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tactical Plan | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devine Dental | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacramento Q | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champers | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Equality | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Verrazano Bridge | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scoop Dawg | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rickie’s Melody | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fred’s Gonefishing | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bester | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prefontaine | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Skippy Go | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Refi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cobble Hill | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glacier Express | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harper | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Negotiations | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Pistol | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend in Court | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldenlineof | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Quiet Please | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jenn’s the Boss | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J J Loves Billy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazilian Bay | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reiterate | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wishes and Dreams | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woman Flyer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grimhilde | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peyton Elizabeth | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Deja Vu | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Centerfold Angel | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aegean Sea | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hay Nineteen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quasar | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Assume | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Distance Love | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Yo Nessroundonkern | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Masrour | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Irish Exit | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mischievous Jones | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baton | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fanelli | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buddyboysgotsense | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hotpot | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolice Vita | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Diamond | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Morissette | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Always Talking | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Uncut | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queen Breezy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fleeterthan | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Field Letters | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’smyrisenstar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Skerrett | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paper Mansion | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twodogsfourcats | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Tosca | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Huntress | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Mauve | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Lemon Dance | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Boopa | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eighty Eight Keys | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wheredidyougo | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alrashaka | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alice Harper | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sommer Velvet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissin Cousin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Serena | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Thoughts | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Advocate Harbor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Halligirl | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Be Water | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Kaira | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dustwhirl Wonder | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Penance | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elusive Ryder | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carmeltini | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Superling | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florencia | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Horizen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Boomerang Miss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.