December 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitty Baby | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dominant Joy | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brain Trust | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quentessa | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playa Inclusion | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Judge Judith | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paintbrush | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bad Gus | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Time of Peace | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Commanding | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Mandate | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pemberton | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U U Star | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gogees | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tested Mettle | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mastership | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskeyonhislips | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danley | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Regio | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Pro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magicgirl | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Current Situation | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Hot Today | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afficionado (FR) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Generic Mark | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Till Dawn | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All About Kathern | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Home Happy | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Iron | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Hombre | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Attitude | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Rocka | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Team | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nathaniel’s Hope | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Skywalking | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Tone | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Astroturf | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Darnley | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drum and Drummer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweeney’s Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | K. K. Ichikawa | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not So Easy | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call of Honor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bird Wildcat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Krypton | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up Bud | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Soiree | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Lane | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Cerfolio | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Miracle | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlemagnereturns | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarawat | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stanford (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flipping Fish | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Honor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diligent | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Gent | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chao | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steak and Cheese | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Golden Indy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Macedonian | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seizing the Dream | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Art | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jerry’s Turn | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crown of Honor | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lord of War | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deep State | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | To a T | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Before You | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freak | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Battle Cry | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dem a Wonder | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liza Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American of Course | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briella | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kozy Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Avow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wintour | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | London Lady | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valiant Miss | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Capture | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miles of Smiles | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Spitfire | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Babe | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seabrook Summer | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sophia’s Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.