December 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Storied Trip | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Siren | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nana’s Joy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kodiak Sky | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz One Fee | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gifted Talent | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sucre | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Dawn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Union Station | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hour City | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Fellar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Hero | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its a Wrap | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pocket Money | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Eminence | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Ace | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bind Faith | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Orphan Creek | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeffrow | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Jabot | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fourtoedfred | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R T’s Wildcat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strong Impression | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smart Analysis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Brother | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Brave | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saber Run | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Vision | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Minister’s Medal | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heather’s Request | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Rachel | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crooked Banker | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythmic Ruler | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Edge | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Eagle | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quadrajet | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Indiscreet | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rumohr Reigns | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Puck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Tap | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister K | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sniveling | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great One | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Akhnas | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pipes and Drums | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlins Capo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bodie On Pointe | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birdcatmouse | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Wish for Madelyn | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Rebel Girl | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runpeggyrun | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Heat | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achancetowin | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agirlnamedsyd | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beaux Tox | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Viv Viv Viv | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Meg | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercury Head | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Jana | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Emma | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Jane | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackies Irishdream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gris Tormenta | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ravens Bling | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cupie Cutie | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Princess | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vancouver Snow | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Date | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Rose | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Sissy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel and Me | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anna Clause | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Order Up Another | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | World of Hurt | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.