December 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Only Girl | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nadine’s Girl | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy’s Nice Candy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleche d’Amour | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Chicas | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Is Royalty | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Faith | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Kitten | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dalio | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Teufles | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bastien Le Brown | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldness | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Me Two Steps | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friar Tuck | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shes All Woman | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wedontbelieveher | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patrick’s Lass | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infatuating | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luann | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chez Paree | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Domineer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Arete’s Chalice | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | All in Jest | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Royal Rocker | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z First | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Honey (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncaptured Grace | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Countessoflovelace | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Inez | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thataint Tooshabby | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Youniverse | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 12 | Linn Pier | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Not Checkers | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Kingdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Record | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Only Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Soul of an Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Putin Online | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Count | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee by the Sea | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Grit | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Military Drill | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Kelly | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Promise | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Vindaloo | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Elevator Pitch | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unexpected | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Meetmeinkingston | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighthandbroadway | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Starrystarryknight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Future Flay | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raspberry Ballet | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jade Empress | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irazu | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frankie’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ideal Breeze | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rakasa | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Well Shes Handsome | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ilknur | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Rod | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wing Commander | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes On Target | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Channels | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Blue | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Group Hug | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toretto | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Torn Jeans | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Masterpiece | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlotte the Brit | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yellen | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Wind | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caffeine Rush | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Henni Penny | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day’s Humor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Pebble | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.