December 17, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chicago River | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Getting Lucky | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Factor In | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Power | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closertotheheart | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Knows What | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortes | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Maiden | 1.40 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Reina Susan | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Heliacal Rising | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Holy Pink | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Reezan | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Civil Unrest | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Hello Jamrock | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Sister June | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dial Me Maybe | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Irish Chaos | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | Hit a Homer Honey | 1.80 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Jamerican | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chrisatude | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No More Talk | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Getoffmyback | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Cash | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Fought | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodluckchuck | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tall Dawg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rough Sea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Super E | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crack the Safe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximo Strong | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maid the Journey | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crying for More | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming of Carats | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boondoggle | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Panna Mine | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billingsgate | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Factor | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Parched Ghost | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volador | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderturtle | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tweet Away Robin | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammie Sunshine | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nymue’s Treasure | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Cleopatra and I | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Georgia | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Noise | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Jane | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ravenel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Island Philo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Flicker | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duart Castle | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Odds | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Above Mine | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rona | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not Now Donald | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spanikopita | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellswillberinging | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Birthday Wish | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colorofacloud | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love Saga | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Way | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Home | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Mia | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Satisfied | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sister Clurrie | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Money’s Worth | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Foxann | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blueberry Indygo | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mit Mazel | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Measure | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reina La Kelsy | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tayler’s Chrome | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Finch | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Monet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Home Dixie | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Award Wanted | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy’s Image | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bless and Honor | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Torch Carrier | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Super Sally | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Offlee Graysful | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Areemaa | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Windrush Karma | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Americas Woman | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digital Dream | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuff But Fair | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Writtenbythestars | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notion Interruptus | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.