December 18, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Knight’s Cross | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colosi | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Saturday | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Dragon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Game | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pit Boss | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morocco | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fay Dan | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Doc Irwin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roll Dinero Roll | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lord M | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin Rocket | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lou’s Arrow | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slightly Crafty | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Situation | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Appeal | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Monday | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Iron | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chiki Boy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Other Times | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flatout Winner | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mau Mau | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wartime Hero | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Georgia Deputy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rogallo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Finn | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Design | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can Imagine | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Most Sandisfactory | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Rocket | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exit | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runquietly | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Flecha | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Combat Medal | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Popster | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glassato | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galactic Empire | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | India Tiger | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brother Aaron | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toobadsosad | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Torin | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sag Harbor | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cold as Hell | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Rock Says | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Don | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U. S. Steel | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reef’s Destiny | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | O Dogg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exemplar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flatoutjustice | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Home Run Trick | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Promise | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tez | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jack’s Advantage | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slick Silver | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chicory Blue | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Praetorian | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Icy Stare Down | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Peace Peddler | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Runaway Wife | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Gang That Sang | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot and Sultry | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mommasgottarun | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chesterette | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Uninhibited | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funtimegirl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Threave’s Company | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mucho | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Range Toddy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Alfred James | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | County Final | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kneedeepinsnow | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Mandate | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Daaher | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lone Rock | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Charge | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Title Ready | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huge Bigly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Luminarie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenfold | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thomas Shelby | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick to Blame | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Chileno | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Bueno | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Seven Flat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Maximum Impact | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Fully Connected | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Chaos | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jim and Jim | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Pine | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Group Eighteen | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Jamal | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ethereal Road | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Tail | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mistical Curlin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.