December 19, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oopsy Daisy | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kactus Kate | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Go All Theway | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caviar Resolution | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Confusion | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plemmonston | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oxbow Wind | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Mic Tiesun | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Hail Cat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dignified N Krafty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Town Road | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grief | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creole Charlie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gallant Star | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makati Phil | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunk | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Kat | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dapper Dan Man | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Alex | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cave Creek | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Chanson La Belle | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Kehron’s Creed | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Get Directions | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Mad Tabby | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Linz | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Belmar Beauty | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altered Dream | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Blondie Lox Babe | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Satch Mo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Coinmaker | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Katie’s Karat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swanage | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Country Time | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Passing Thru | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ephemeral | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gottabegolden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nin to Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crump | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fan Club | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alejandro | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ardanwood | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Empire | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Mafia | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adelaide Miss | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apple Dapple | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cantata | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zoom Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Good Penny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | G’s Squeeze | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steph’sfullasugar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nitap | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Year’s Party | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Complete Court | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birdie Call | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Koo Koo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Artist | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Peaceful | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Memphis Meltdown | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Autumn’s Lil Doll | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Custom Guitar | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Both Ours | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pat Hand Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Punch Fist | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | La Feme Jolie | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lake Runner | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tugboat | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Nola | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.