December 21, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nautical Gem | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Verrazano Vittoria | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aussie Mist | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uno Tigress | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Originaly From Dot | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Kat Katie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Joe B | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fran’s Worrier | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lawn Boy (GB) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Wil | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Bud | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shandian | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Copilot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stella’s Tour | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bizzy Gillespie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its About My Time | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | About the Multiple | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uptown Shoes | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He Runs the Line | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austin Whylie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factum Love Style | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Social Equality | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twixy Cat | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southside Swig | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Walsh | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Fleet | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Wicked Strong Alex | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Storm | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elite Mission | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Fast | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Dulzura | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mountain Tree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Anna | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooper Penny | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Successful Legacy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Cherie | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Money | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gingers Wish | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaminofdasies | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unimpeachable | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Mason | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scotch Rock’s | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Built | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank N Ducky | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Big K | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Is Back | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dragon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Oil | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Cigar Box | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Amblin Man | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strawberry Red | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pharaoh’s City | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Luck | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kowboy Karma | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gran Causeway | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goldenlineof | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Conquistador | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Off Duty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Here Wego | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Catch Fire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dougie | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fara’s Kid | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ironbound | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loose Ends | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Divine | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sharp Red Eagle | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crisper | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Make Mine Chrome | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Radieux | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Road Call | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don Giuseppe | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baafeed | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Bound | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Boss | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beaver Creek | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Because I Can | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Light | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Express | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dont Break the Law | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Alonzo Mosely | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Spartak | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Spirit Wolf | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prefontaine | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Best Start | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brew Dog | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Judicial Restraint | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birchmount Rd | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | City Guy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Field Officer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Master of War | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.