December 29, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Decision | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Kitten | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Philo | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Til the End | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outshine | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parlor | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Kitten | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dover Cliffs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brett’s World | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flipping Fish | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Style | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tone Feelin | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Temptations | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Kahn | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prudent Song | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Enough | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breehazel | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Warrior (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gather as You Go | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alki Puy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuck On Kitten | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Megayacht | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Frank (GB) | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warn | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Carolina | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Advanced Placement | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Please the Pharoah | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rave On | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sanctified | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Belgrano | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grainger County | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frenchmen Street | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tropicat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Connector | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Drifter | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Honor | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resident Liberal | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finding Mischief | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buffalo Max | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Stride | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Churchills Victory | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grrr | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Couch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Confidenceinterval | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor That | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Fair | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Byrdie Howe | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mine for Passion | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Only Kidding | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apart of My Charm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leviosa | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dignified | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Claude | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Rose | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty One Short | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elisa’s Song | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freccia d’Argento | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tuscan Queen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Mater (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Applecross (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Twilight | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caroline’s Story | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Centsless Drama | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isadorable Aida | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Mallomar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tik Tok Famous (GB) | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cultured | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beachfront Bid | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambitieuse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crackle Candy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Up in the Air | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creme Caramel | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ines’s Hats | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambar | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Novel Idea | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spread Joy | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Macha | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.