December 30, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sariah Sariah | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart That Binds | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiddo Town | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Racy Jaycee | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sophie’s Prayer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Great in Red | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Malibu Midnight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kind Ways | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Table One | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Sunrise | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fasted | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devastating Beauty | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Em’s Miss Prado | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Us Second Cute Pie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Peace | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Byanymeans | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Bind Me Up | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 9 | Bind On Earth | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Old Fashion Amour | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | See Sassy Run | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Foursweetnieces | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Onetwomanyrockets | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Lady Be Gone | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reachforthesaber | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Actifdash | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unspoken Memories | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Soul | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Porque Si | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muletrain | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Choice | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zongland | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goodnight Gracie | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suckerforagrey | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Em In | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Crown | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ezee Enough | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wholeshackshimmies | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Underrated | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Freudian Sip | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jazz It Up | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Frank the Mayor | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fresh One | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laddie Boy | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Natealyze | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Honeypot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dried Pepper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Freed | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Charlie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock On Cowboy | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duritz | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robtadi Storm | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dixieland Music | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | And Yet Another | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crown Rocket | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leyton’s Hippie | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonshinerboy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobby Boots | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tesuque | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Friendly and Kind | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harlans Warrior | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz One Fee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnightsugar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Tizway | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Oh | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Lundi | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Gus | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Proud Boy | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | River King | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Driver | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jr’s Sauvage | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gonna Getcha | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Actor | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Counterfeit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Double Bogey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | On Tilt | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.