December 30, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Willow’s Charm | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Saint Rita | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Likehail | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got a Good Reason | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diadora | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | How Lucky | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monkey On My Back | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Harbor | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amaretto Sour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ohh Beehave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Home by Seven | 3.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Union Betty | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Diva | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Always Something | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miner’s Gem | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laughin’ Place | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sick Pack Sara | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Live Aid | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Ms Scarlet | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wrapper Rule | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Torch Carrier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Mischief | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mocephus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divining Dancer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Codigo | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whizwit | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Tip | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sagrada Ray | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Spirit | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me a Dreamer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maximo Strong | 50.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deshackled | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crownedcountcristo | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Francis X. | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightster Red | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Chip | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Disputed Notion | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Rain | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Dare Me | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Image Maker | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don Ciccio | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carson and I | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trigz Too | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Some Mo | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toss a Coin | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bakeneko | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Scooby | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncommon Valor | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spritzer | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its Mr Poppi to U | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Big Mozz | 3.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Princess Killmain | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mortal Storm | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nymue’s Treasure | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cougar Vision | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Sheriff’s Kid | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | R True Sensation | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courageous Grace | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caterina One | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eloquent Lady | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Family Fortune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Congress Hall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sarah’s Treasure | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Enduros Tigress | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Petion Lass | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shackle Cat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Penn Legacy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abuelo Paps | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Tall Dawg | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Threes | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rad Paisley | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seven On the Rocks | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charm City Band | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Daddy | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Going to the Lead | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Roamie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | John the Bear | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pederson’s Courage | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tybalt | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benandjoe | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Trove | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Contraflow | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doubleoseven | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentleman Joe | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Poser | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galerio | 1.60 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Shooter | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Goodluckchuck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pass It On | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chubby Warrior | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Swagger | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notion Interruptus | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Writtenbythestars | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Lassie | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sense of Music | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flava’s Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.