December 31, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Sam | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Fireball | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Twist | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Overanalyze | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windsor Academy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xietelehuas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | F J’s Gem | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gris Tormenta | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapsion | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Idol | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Ways | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knights Sword | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hillstone Martini | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Raid | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loco Poco | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Sleep | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loco Lucy | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Later Latertiffany | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aden’s Ransom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stingray Slayer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wise Anchor | 4.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s D ‘cat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Strain | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw X. | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jamaican Me | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Leo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bunkie’s Song | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Jones | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matts Fire N Ice | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Cut | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Show | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Eisenhower | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Analysis | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cottonwood | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palimonium | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Dee Kay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unfathomed | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seehoss | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sy Michael | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cpriority | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Blue Jay | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Bandit | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Punch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Love | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coco’s Man | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Relax Town | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Town Willy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Mistake | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apriority Storm | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conative | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pat Me Down | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Flush King | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quana Dude | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Texas Rule | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lookout S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jet Sweep | 5.00 | 0.6 | 1-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strummer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tecate Time | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Schiff’s Corner | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dueforadate | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Liaison | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suzie’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Humphrey | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whiskey’s Gone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Revolt | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queeten | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Familiar Rhythm | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zipzaptime | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr Makeithappen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nippy Red | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | From Now On | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Inca Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Red Wined Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gettinintomischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.