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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 1, 2022

January 1, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Memory Magic 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Nana’s Joy 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Costa Sugar 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Eutychia 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Honest Woman 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Angel’s Cut 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Promise Tender 5.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Totally Grace 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Roaring Quinn 15.00 2 4-1
9 8 Track Smart 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Harlons Commision 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Summertime Bandit 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Wild Mallory 1.60 5.6 11-1
8 7 Miss Jamie 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Dueforadate 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Tailorbeswift 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Catalina Latrina 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 G’s Storm 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Major Griffin 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 8 Oak Hill Solution 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Corn Soup 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 E R’s Mireya 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 A Million Lights 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Peachy Mandate 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wicked Flashback 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Texas Mama 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Red Red Wine 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lucky Every Day 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gentlemen’s Girl 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Majestic Edge 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Untethered Soul 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Dixieland Dream 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Poseidon’s Magic 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Flat Out Flirty 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 My Wicked Wish 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Chicken Or the Egg 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 A Wish for Madelyn 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Agirlnamedsyd 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Wherethemoneywent 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Cyber Sneaker 4.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Wish for Interest 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Swimhard Dreambig 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miss High Heels 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Charlie Gras 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Kappa Hill 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mizzen Monarch 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Non Binding 3.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Glory to Me 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Keen On Keenan 2.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Scrapbook 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Miss Manassas 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sandra’s Juel 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Miss E. Fu 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vallejo 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Noon’s Babygirl 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Wild Tapit 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Becca’s Bouquet 2.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Knight’s Honor 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Brave City Girl 3.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Twn Ms Midship 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Kehei Kat 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Crypto Brave 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – B-connected S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Available Star 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bistraya 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Freedomfi 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Much Class 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Izzy’s Baby Boy 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Big Boy Dave Rex 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Luck of the Draw 2.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Jax Man 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Father Goose 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Magawildtime 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tincandance 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 It’s Time Baby 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Oklahoma Star 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Target Vision 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Honor and Respect 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Valid Break 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Lake Sense 6.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Shanghai Hetty 20.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Falyn’s Gold Ruler 6.00 10 19-1
7 7 Julio Choice 2.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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