January 1, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for a Song | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiddly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point of Victory | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Z’s First | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rivetrix | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beduin Fighter | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | K C Rocket | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surveillance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zap Motion | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inthealy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benbow Cat | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Trick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peaceful Vision | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Active Girl | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kehron’s Creed | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mandoline Star | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blondie Lox Babe | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Mallory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Mallory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Canada’s Customs | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky High Susan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anita’s Vision | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Nanny’s a Hoot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C C Takesover | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Et | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connect It | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Lady | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Cajun Queen | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thethrillersgone | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swoonatra | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Hitter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helluva Life | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Ahead | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Minister | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiftyfive Strong | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Countrified | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O’Connor | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Killer Bee | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ambassador House | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misthaven (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Pearl Earring | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maxine Machine | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Focus | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dreamworker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet N Sassy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bizymaline | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cypress Queen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Have I Ever | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verdandi | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple P | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Melody | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eclipsed | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arlyne’s Crown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Desire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elle Z | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t No Elmers | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Limit | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Payntdembluesaway | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Can’t Sing | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elle’s Town | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Mybudget | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes It’s Ginger | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Isn’t It Time | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Natalie Run | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pineapple Alley | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy’s Pride | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Lady May | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winnie B | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stop Shop N Drop | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Bella | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drewsilla | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Millie | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classical Magnolia | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.