January 2, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flower Moon | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Default Protection | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precipitate | 0.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | School of Thought | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intense Honor | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hangar One | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Spirit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halpert | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Casper Run | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masked Marauder | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brunate | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Mischief | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Juliana’s Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Phenomenal Woman | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Frosted Bourbon | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Saluki | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Gallina | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vivazano | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talenti | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Madame Rose | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runningforhome | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Cash | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Break | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kumar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O Shea Can U See | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Order of Magnitude | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Long Term | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rookieoftheyear | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Flight | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constitutionlawyer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Lights | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pathological | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Curteis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Allure Fortune | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Annie | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diva Banker | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Point | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Bay | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Stones | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte Webley | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tony’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tootsie’s Song | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Trail | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty’s Smile | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tangoberg | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queentigua | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pazzion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Appreciate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eloquent Speaker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmetakethiscall | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awillaway | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Sting | 0.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bohemian Ruby | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | V Pattern | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forestwood Lane | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tuesday’s Child | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crock of Gold | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artie’s Lit | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forty Two Ace | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unlikely | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arrowheart | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Bell Boy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Shinjuku | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.