January 2, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kittenofthe Court | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Younmehoneybunny | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meg and Clair | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Shots | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ridge Queen | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Juanandora | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birdcatmouse | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Pegasus | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Ashley B. | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distractor Factor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spectacular Izzy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commercial Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Shipman | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Top Ten Duchess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Balook | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Duepeg | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Velvet Ridge | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quest for Avette | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Herewecometogetyou | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Widdle Zee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mister Don | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schnell | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honeysuckledelight | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wheels Like Nala | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Violet Shadows | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moment to Dream | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macee | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beleout | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Grey Beauty | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Caruso | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come On Birdie | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Two Step | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | B B Gun Bullseye | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Czar’s Ballerina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stat | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricolour | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T G’s Nelson | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alebrije | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runandhide Wind | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fastnfurious | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Courthouse Cove | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Pounce | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soul Streit | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yes He Can | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charge the Line | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon and Diem | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | May Hour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | City Mischief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Intimidation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Biarritz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Weekend Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Math Wizard | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awe Shackle | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boyfriend Material | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O Besos | 0.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid Heart | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Full Dinner Jacket | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Drewpower | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Birthday Party | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Criminal Defense | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Leroy Jenkins | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Soul Coaxing | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ronithelimodriver | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tourist’s Dream | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long and Strong | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chief Cheetah | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Stove League | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Courageously | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Slo Mo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zelig | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Binding Agreement | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Ya Win | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 1.40 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Wellington | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takes Two to Tango | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pickens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.