January 3, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | R and R Star | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Battle of Will | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Pal Greeley | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diesel Jack | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie Moon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primeinterestrate | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holden Pass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. K W | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Hug the Munny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Just Blaze | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | High Cruise | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | W W Kan Do | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | The Gray Blur | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Club Soda | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Curtin’s Up | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bourbon Tan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Channel Won | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Pure Valor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spectrolite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Kyle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Murdo | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abuelo Nuno | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin High | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ekati’s Verve | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gemo Rain | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citizen West | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kyle’s Bro Jimmy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Artistic Jewler | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Perfect Diva | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beautiful Bella | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swanage | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen’s Mission | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Susan Strong | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runaway Henny | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Princess Renee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Gods | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Cold Hearted Wench | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Glitterary | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money and Me | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Perigee | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cypriano | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Priority | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shackle the Gold | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Sierra | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Influential | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Dan | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmel Crush | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Return | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Rocket | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Charlie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fahan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Explosively Hot | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Visionofwildtimes | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Platinum Queen | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Steph’sfullasugar | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hotmolly | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spirited Beauty | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Proud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Miz Troubadour | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candy Anne | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parker Eva | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Brielle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Treat | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aunt Joie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dial It Up a Notch | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Hero | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frosteria | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ma Cherie | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovers Quarrel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Sky | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joeboy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mista Valentine | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Customize My Quest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Unbridled Hope | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thisguycanfly | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ciroc O Clock | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Conquistador Gold | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Argybargy Buck | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.