January 5, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Star | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Town | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Count | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Star Is Born Now | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetsweetsong | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Blue Grass | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Putthehammerdown | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Flash | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Cheese | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buddy Reaux | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zultan | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Devil | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Totalizer | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D T’s Dream | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wine to Roses | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Charlie | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Bird | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Puck | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marliesrajuncajun | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blume | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sadie’s Light | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Indiscreet | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In a Bind | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Streamer | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smackfire | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nin to Win | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pintlala | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crider Chase | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Moneyhoney | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gifted Talent | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Diva | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Smokey Ann | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Speed Queen | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel and Me | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | No Spin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Reality | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’oro Moon | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Pasodoble | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perpetuate | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Future | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Hadley | 20.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pricey | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takenforgranted | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prayers Saved | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamas Gone Crazy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eponher | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viking Voyage | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Halo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Audacious Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gracesspecialtouch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Common Law Cat | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Paddock Pick | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Masterly | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Boy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sir Smack | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Carpe Victoriam | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Tale of Fame | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ima Sunny Song | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sing Loud | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brad Eye | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Fitz | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ebony Flash | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Pride | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shot On Windy Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr Leo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thirtyeight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Monzza | 3.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Traelee | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charlie Sky | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontforgetrdreams | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Chatain | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rich Dreams | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucca’s Lilyby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luna Y Sol | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Danta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | That Is Awesome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Debs Girl | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cleverinda | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remi’s Rose | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Songs Discreet Cat | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.