January 29, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Smoochie | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tincandance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Girl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie Sky | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souvenir Channel | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remi’s Rose | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Sleep | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Padioli | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lulumaru | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fabulous Girl | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Production | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fianna Hills | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honest Woman | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Legs | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnightsugar | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zipity | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Mom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Gal Charlotte | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Emma Jean | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Me Out | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupie Cutie | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keep On Dreaming | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sport Palace | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | E R’s Mireya | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Nate | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last to Know | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shar’s Treasure | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Love | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slow | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quana Dude | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat Me Down | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Le Roy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Red | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Briar | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Sarge | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im Just Jokin | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Show | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Devil | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Famous Yankee | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wedington | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rose Crown | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Dream | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Untethered Soul | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Seventeen | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Invasive | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Casey Beth | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ezee Enough | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Underrated | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Berti | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fazio | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crocodile Jacques | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Special Star | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lenape Drive | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risky Steps | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kensley’s Hippie | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B B Moody | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Run | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broad Decision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pipes and Drums | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief’s Machine | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Honeypot | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Karma | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conative | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Hero | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liken It | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy to Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Forestdungone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nosbor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathan Who | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockalittlelouder | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impact Player | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Papa Bro | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Heart Legend | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pray Ide Sing | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McLean | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | O’L Red | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fresh One | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.