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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 11, 2022

February 11, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Stone’s River 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 1 Algeria (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Endless Sunset 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Mongol Altai 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Primer Dimer 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dominant Soul 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mashhad Flats 1.20 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mad Steven 1.60 2.4 4-1
3 3 Prince Hussar 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Riviera Champ 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Abadon 10.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Who’s Candy 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Smuggler’s Run 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Franklin One Star 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Thirsty Always 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Moose Mitchell 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Star Entry 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Im Still Thirsty 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Richards the Dream 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Li’l Grazen 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Swirling 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Bella Renella 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Tiz a Master 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 California Cool 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Suezaaana 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Mo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majestic Steps (IRE) 1.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 Unusual Ride 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Roses R Blue 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Va Va Voom 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bowl of Cherries 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Westward Breeze 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Delmas 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Beautiful Art 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Midnight Fury 0.80 2.4 5-1
4 4 Magicnthemoonlight 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Candy for Carmel 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Salto de Tigre 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Big Novel 1.80 2.2 4-1
8 4 Vivacious Vanessa 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 2 Emerald Lake 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Precious Insight 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 98 Professors’ Pride 0.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sue Ettas Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 She’s Bulletproof 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Smilin Evie 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Never Sway 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mo Connelly 1.80 2.1 4-1
8 8 Silent Beauty 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Midnight’s Girl 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 So Softly 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lucy Jane 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Starship Diplomacy 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ravenclaw 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Frontier Market 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Grit and Curiosity 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Via Egnatia 4.00 4 8-1
9 6 Ian Glass 5.00 5 9-1
8 5 Castle 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 4 Very Irish 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Preaching Trainer 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 McWherter 8.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Follow the Signs 0.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Johnny Podres 4.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Alleva 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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