March 9, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Table One | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supertrix | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aphrodites Revenge | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lets Go All Theway | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Maybe | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Staceys Racey | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Keeping | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gigablast | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storied Trip | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Jen | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Connection | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Ashley B. | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spellbinding | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mila’s Gold | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Half a Doodle | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Kings | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kahaal | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Star | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Star Alex | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Bootleggs | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corn Soup | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ourquickdrawmcgraw | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Premo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Iknowididn’tdothat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Earley Rose | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Tonalist | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Clara Belle | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Union Grad | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Surrey | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Blame Nellie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cocoa Colada | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love of My Life | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Christie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chopin Drive | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t Broke | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joy Enamorada | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catwings | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mi Lia | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Shipman | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | G’s Deadline | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Air Guitar Star | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Apriority Lady | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hotmolly | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Feline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lone Star Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hoist the Gold | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chattalot | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Kentucky | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tejano Twist | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magician Stone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | Big Lake | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Snow House | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Speitful Sam | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Continental Coins | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mr. Hustle | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nate’s Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fortuity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pine Knoll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ioya Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Monition | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Highestdistinction | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Suggested | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sermononthemount | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Super Comet | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bode’s Connection | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American First | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | T R’s First | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World of Hurt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thethrillersgone | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Shop N Drop | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pat Hand Girl | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Memphis Meltdown | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Custom to It | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jig Time Bandit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.