March 19, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Colton | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Infeasible | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Left On Boylston | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lefty’s War | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Analysis | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Total Effort | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleon Complex | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | We Ready | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Question My Sanity | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alite | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irie Spice | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Victory | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conformist | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Workout | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doublepour | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Mischief | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Basin | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Chrome | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merchants of Cool | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Your Awesome Boss | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trappeze Artist | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowers for Lisa | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnetron | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speeding Kid | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copa | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jade’s Dream | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Skinny | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Brown | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run for Boston | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invest | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Two Ace | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cut the Cord | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Umbria | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 16 | Never Early | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Texas Tower | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Takeover Kash | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pipito | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Exceptional | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bird Ruler | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fazaro | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dr. Levy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Acalteque | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run White Rabbit | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mister J T | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kentucky Knight | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | V Pattern | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Hot Latte | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dear Faith | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Papi On Ice | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flowing River | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 14 | Ria’s Angel | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tin Pan Alley | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loz | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Midas | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Gold Bullion | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Eminency | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Maythisbetheone | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Crawford County | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Touch of a Buzz | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | A Lister | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Barrel of Quests | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | My Gal Val | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Luca At the Spa | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thats Pretty Nice | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beverly’s Charge | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closing Deals | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Vinman | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amore Fire | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trinity Titoli | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingdom Queen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lanfrankophile | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosemary Potatoes | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tweaqued | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Timberlake | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runningwscissors | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bronx Bomber | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money in the Bank | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Pharoahs | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reggae Music Man | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | T Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scocciatore | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Writer’s Regret | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Shot | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thin White Duke | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Lilies | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Cicada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exxaltress | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monshun | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Solare | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Scarlet | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosebug | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Milagro | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Backed by Gold | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tasty Wave | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kiss Me Smile | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ladyshanghitrevor | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flight Forward | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eudaimonia | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Banks | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phenomenal Woman | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Throwing Stars | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giggling Ghost | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strong Alpha | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Bottle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jackie’s a Fox | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Get Your Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Half Birthday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lost Anchor | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.