March 19, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tensas Virginia | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolie Gris | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Peaceful | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Is Hot | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wendy Wilecat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kappa Hill | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adrenaline | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Herewecometogetyou | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Egeauxtism | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fluffpoint | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Dan Man | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ciroc O Clock | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Don | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Quarter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Widdle Zee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ride the Plan | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled d’Oro | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joan’s Way | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Layla’s Song | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Downtown Abby | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Blue | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That You Margaret | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Loyal to the Game | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Passage | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Veloce | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Burns | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pacificislandtime | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street N Sour | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danny’s Lil Dana | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy G | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrtandroseysboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tiznow Wind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Eagle | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shake Some Action | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Space Mountain | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Mo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firewater Jake | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chantry Flats | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McFeely | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Youvesaiditall | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Tourist | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rookery | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Altered Shot | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anna Volante | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Front Street | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Confusion | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love of My Heart | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Joie | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blossom Road | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firingtothefront | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big If True | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ioya Again | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fenwick Station | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pine Knoll | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s Rumor | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mishko | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortuity | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twoko Bay | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Changi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sermononthemount | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Koufax | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Warrior in Chief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Monition | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strong Quality | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunfighter | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zippin Gigi | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Presidential | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yono | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marquee Ride | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Rib | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We All See It | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Entertainment | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excess Magic | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Attempt | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Field Day | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archidust | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bound for Nowhere | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strike Me Down | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Americanus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Went West | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Northernreflection | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Creek | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courtman | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitartuition Plzz | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Million Lights | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papiringo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bouldering | 1.40 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renati | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That One Guitar | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Boo | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.