March 25, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Draw Off | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Mist | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs Bell | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Birthday | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Your Gold | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Bottle | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dini’s Destiny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crosstown Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runabout | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crypto Cash | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Rule | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chris and Dave | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eucharist | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lokoya Road | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Annie | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Feline | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solib | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Towering Orbit | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colby Girl | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Luck | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | After Alpha | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glittering Prize | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Spirit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Type | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cricket West | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Chalk | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celebrity News | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flattery’s Music | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tonight We Love | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Gal | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Costanti | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bean Christine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | One Track Mine | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Invasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Colt Named Susie | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scotty | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devious Mo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uno | 0.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fotis | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect for All | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Tryst | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Sweet Girl | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Roxy Girl | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Cara | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impazible Donna | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mosienko | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Love | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Not Bluffing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Famished | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Reds | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Boss | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Good Year | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vindictive | 0.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Taking | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Gotcha | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Braciole | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Revolution | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heads Or Tails | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Last Mission | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doin’ittherightway | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Stepper | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Yet Charlie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Skate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.