March 25, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lt. Junior Grade | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynt Battle | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin High | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Gold Room | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gemo Rain | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desoto’s War | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Linda | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlos Loves Tee | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Conservatve Values | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American First | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pat Hand Girl | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Aces | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Gal Riri | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swift n’ Stormy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s Chance | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Country Time | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Gods | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paytonsattheplate | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Henny | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limitless Mazie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glitterary | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Queen | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Seemyvalentine | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rydenseek | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zumra Bayou | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | But Anyway | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stop Shop N Drop | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmic Belle | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Guitar | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A. P. Style | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes I’m a Lady | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jig Time Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Linda Lou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Listen Jan | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Bella | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cypriano | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Rocket | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muscadine | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canihaveitlikethat | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Falcon Rocket | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Mischief | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Green Mo’ster | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavy Duty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cabertoss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Canada’s Customs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Basalt Street | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Non Binding | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Won Day | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moment to Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noneya | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knights Sword | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Adeau | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Marie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Emro | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ghosting Kim | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Assertive Style | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sail On Ellen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shellby | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goin’ Good | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Onerollofthedice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Love That Star | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheapskate Diva | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pineapple Alley | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lead Me | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shesabeautydancer | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Value Target | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy’s Pride | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eagleoverthemoon | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Natalie Run | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Halo’s Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ours and Theirs | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Aces | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tiz of Thee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Verstappen | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tuanis | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guntown | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stitched | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy City | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brit’s Wit | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zultan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Creme de Bali | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Xavey Dave | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Silent Tap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Indefensible | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sugar Star | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | La Feme Jolie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Punch Fist | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sadie’s Ransom | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wheels Like Nala | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aggie Doctor | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satisfy U | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | True Blonde Auntie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Caesar’s Calpurnia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | La Smoochie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mon Danseur | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Angela’s Celerity | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m a Custom to It | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ashley’s Girl | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.