March 31, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kazmike | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win for Gold | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Gun | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ouster | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major Spin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Civil Service | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Built to Last | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scherzando | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corkman | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Sunshine | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amount | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bingo John | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Mineshaft | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mucho Man | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joshua | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bohemian Ruby | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nova Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Brownie | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acalteque | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Empire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disengage | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wickosity | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | To a T | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stencil | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Cara | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tellaperfecttale | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Mama | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cadeau de Paix | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Happy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eddie the Great | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pineapple Man | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | State Planning | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Dancin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achilles Heel | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Convertible Freeze | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut the Cord | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money in the Bank | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Vision | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Guy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bronx Bomber | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | South Africa | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gandy Dancing | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Pete | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New York’s Finest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Rebellion | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letmetakethiscall | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halo City | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betsy Blue | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rossa Veloce | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eloquent Speaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Court Banker | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crostata B C | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timmy Me Boy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Limit Up | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Inspiration | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moons the Limit | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bointheback | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C. B Loves a Fight | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Veinticuatro | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.