April 1, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johnselectricride | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connected | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cagney | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rush to Honor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devious Banker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Brody | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lindros | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cross Island | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Impulse | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linny Kate | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Write the Check | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dare to Be Great | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | April Antics | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runabout | 0.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blood Moon | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O Shea Can U See | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playwright | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sukoon | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patient Capital | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Actualize | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke and Heat | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Map | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Late Call | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Surprise | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scenic View | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waters of Merom | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intelligencereport | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tweaqued | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Queen | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dr Ardito | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorny Tale | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Lilies | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Right | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Marauder | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tamburro’s Sox | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Actuary (GB) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brunate | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Run Casper Run | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blame It On Brutus | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Bahe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Apex Predator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Key Point | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bold Journey | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Trouble | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Longlongtimeago | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Masked Marauder | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Gravy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Forty Comets | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Buckley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trustyourinstinct | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.