April 2, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Manhattan Up | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sermononthemount | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salow | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reconvene | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santos Dumont | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starrininmydreams | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shortlist | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overtaxed | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Mall | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Jakey | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Bias | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spankster | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ludwig | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be There | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Promise | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caerus | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alejandro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life Is Hard | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Space Odessey | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Way | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Namesake | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restoring Hope | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gun It | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sonneman | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fact Finding | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Title Ready | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wells Bayou | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sixth Sense | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twilight Blue | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Background | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Novel Squall | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joy’s Rocket | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Rockette | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Li’l Tootsie | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acting Out | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rider’s Special | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Ottoman | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western River | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Compton | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick to Blame | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame Eli | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiron | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paid in Full | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Liberated Lady (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sianara | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Tea | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharoah’s Heart | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mun Luv | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Izzybella | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | I’m the Boss of Me | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Well Spent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Martini Blu | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wobberjod | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Incorruptible | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Drena’s Star | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Ron | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A C Expressway | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Breaking News | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beer Chaser | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit Point | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silver Prospector | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cezanne | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Necker Island | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fulsome | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Mosa | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Law Professor | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runnin’ Ray | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roadster | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Analysis | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Vader | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Fortune | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bubble Rock | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Circle | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yuugiri | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heartyconstitution | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Lith | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beguine | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Feel the Need | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eda | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gar Hole | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macron | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Court | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Frazier | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happymac | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Edge to Edge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Supremacy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nuclear Option | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Upstriker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | One Fast Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | We the People | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kavod | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barber Road | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Time | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Un Ojo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doppelganger | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cyberknife | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Diesel | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Oath | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Data Storm | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chicken Hawk | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Macho Rocco | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Goodnight Archie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ima Bling Cat | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamys Roan | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Vee Cee | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Geek | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mahomey | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Blame J D | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Topf Road Rules | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mrs. Beans | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Dixie | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.