April 14, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tag Her | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Dove | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Breeze | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Born | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breehazel | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kentucky Girl | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Baby | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Poppy’s Boys | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Cowboy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoky Blues | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Joey | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle B | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cash in a Flash | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crooner | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fusion Jazz | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Jaxston | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Terre | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stat | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Provision | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skywalking | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Especiallea | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Jeopardy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Theo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neverstopdreaming | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mack | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merzaz | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Grandma’s Pudding | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Lean | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Pacific | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Domore | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appalachianheights | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | London Lady | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Cupid | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Liberty | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Glory | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capridrey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Path to Victory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Muguruza | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whats Goin On | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Capture | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Arabian | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wow Tapit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kingston Queen | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunnynotbeast | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pronta | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yoga Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Frosted Armour | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Punx | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Romantic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Perfect Picture | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thing | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wow Run | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tape to Tape | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Republique | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fulton Market | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Somebody Loves Me | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Frosty Secret | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gleaming Brutality | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Your Inheritance | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cupid Austin | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Macha | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sadie Bear | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Speaks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.